Showing posts with label solar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label solar. Show all posts

Friday, May 1, 2026

Using Aluminium Instead of Carbon to Make Silicon

I have been thinking a lot about sovereign capability lately, not in the abstract flag-waving sense, but in the boring physical sense of what materials sit near each other, what energy sources are nearby, what ports exist, and what loops can actually close.

That line of thought clicked into a more concrete shape after reading the paper Carbon-Neutral Silicon via Aluminothermic Reduction? Exploring Industrial Symbiosis through Life Cycle Assessment, the Australian Silicon Action Plan, and then updating my Aluminium + Silicon Sovereign ecosystem slide deck to reflect it.

The core idea is simple enough to explain to a high-school chemistry class: we normally reduce quartz to silicon with carbon. What if, in the right industrial setting, we used aluminium to reduce silicon instead of carbon?

The Conventional Route Uses Carbon

Silicon does not come out of the ground in neat shiny wafers. It starts as silica or quartz, and the conventional metallurgical route is carbothermic reduction: take quartz, add a carbon source, add a lot of heat, and accept a pile of carbon dioxide as part of the bargain.

That bargain made sense when the objective function was mostly “make silicon cheaply”. It makes less sense when we also care about carbon intensity, geopolitical fragility, and whether a country with abundant ore, sunshine, and smelting know-how can turn those endowments into a durable manufacturing base.

The Alternative Route Uses Aluminium

The paper explores aluminothermic reduction, using an aluminium source as the reductant material instead of carbon. More specifically, it looks at aluminium dross as an industrial symbiosis input rather than a pristine, purpose-made feedstock. That detail matters. This is not a fantasy process that assumes some magical zero-cost aluminium stream falls from the sky. It starts from a messy industrial byproduct and asks whether a better loop can be built around it.

The headline result is strong enough to justify attention: the authors find that the aluminothermic route can reduce global warming impact and cumulative energy demand by up to 80% relative to the reference route.

That is the part that makes you sit up.

The useful thing about the paper is that it does not stop at the good news. Some impacts get worse, especially if the aluminium scrap would otherwise have displaced something valuable elsewhere, and because this route still needs extra input materials. So this is not free decarbonisation. It is a real industrial trade-off.

That makes the paper more useful, not less. Serious policy should be built on “this looks promising, but here are the hotspots” rather than on conference-hall hydrogen hallucinations.

Why This Starts To Look Real

In updating that slide deck, I kept coming back to the same question: what happens if you stop treating aluminium, silicon, and solar panels as separate industries?

That is the framing I find compelling, because it turns this from a chemistry curiosity into an engineering and logistics problem.

Around 80% of a typical solar panel by mass is aluminium plus silicon. If a country is serious about energy sovereignty, it should be thinking not just about installing more panels, but about building the material loops that sit behind them. Solar farms are not merely generators. They are future material stockpiles sitting in the sun.

Once you see that, a different policy picture appears:

  • quartz becomes not just a mining input but a strategic silicon feedstock.
  • bauxite and aluminium refining become adjacent to solar manufacturing rather than unrelated heavy industry.
  • end-of-life panels become future reductant, frame stock, and silicon feed instead of landfill problems.
  • smelters, ports, and renewable generation start to look like parts of the same machine.

This is where aluminium reducing silicon instead of carbon stops being an isolated chemistry trick and starts looking like something you could build an industry around.

If I Had To Put Pins On A Map

The notebook I pulled together on domestic solar manufacturing helped sharpen this. Once you stop talking in continent-sized blobs and start naming actual places, a few candidates jump out.

1. Kemerton and south-west WA

This is the least speculative option because Simcoa at Kemerton already exists and is still Australia’s only operating silicon manufacturer. The Silicon Action Plan notes Simcoa is producing about 52,000 tonnes of metallurgical silicon a year, mining its own quartz and running an established smelter operation.

That matters because south-west WA also has the Darling Range bauxite mines, alumina refineries at Wagerup, Pinjarra and Worsley, the SWIS grid, and Bunbury port infrastructure all in the same broad industrial neighborhood. If you wanted to trial aluminium-assisted silicon reduction somewhere in Australia, starting near the one place that already knows how to make silicon seems less heroic than starting from a blank paddock.

2. Townsville and the Lansdown precinct

If Kemerton is the incumbent, Townsville is the “someone is actually trying to draw the whole supply chain in one industrial estate” option. The major project write-up and Solar Sunshot coverage point to the Lansdown Eco-Industrial Precinct near Townsville as the proposed site for a quartz-to-metallurgical-silicon campus plus silicon ingot and wafer manufacturing.

What I like about Townsville is not that it is magically complete today. It is that the logic is visible. There is Queensland quartz, there are nearby solar resources, there is port access, and CopperString plus the Northern Queensland REZ story gives you a plausible path to much more electricity than the region has today. It is easier to imagine an aluminothermic pilot piggybacking on a place already trying to integrate quartz, silicon and wafer production than on a site that only knows one piece of the story.

3. Gladstone

Gladstone feels like the heavy-industry answer. It already has alumina, aluminium-adjacent infrastructure, deep-water port capability, and a lot of people thinking about how to decarbonise industrial heat without hollowing out the place. The Climateworks work on Gladstone is interesting here because it frames the region not just as a load, but as a flexible industrial node that could soak up and shape renewable power.

Gladstone is weaker than Kemerton on current silicon capability, but stronger on industrial mass. If you needed somewhere that already thinks in terms of furnaces, refineries, export terminals and gigawatts rather than artisan clean-tech vibes, Gladstone is on the shortlist.

4. Mourilyan and Weipa as upstream feedstock pieces

I would not put the whole chain in one place just to satisfy a PowerPoint aesthetic. Sometimes the better answer is a linked corridor rather than one mega-site.

The Mourilyan silica sands project is interesting because it gives Far North Queensland a high-purity silica input close to road and port infrastructure. Pair that with Cape York bauxite and alumina flows coming through Weipa and Yarwun and you start to see a north-to-central Queensland materials story, even if the final smelting and wafering steps land further south.

That sort of arrangement is less neat on a map, but a lot more believable in real life.

I have spent enough time around electronics, energy monitoring, and hardware supply chains to be skeptical of national capability claims built on nothing more than a minister at a lectern. Sovereign capability usually comes from embracing the mess: furnaces, scrap streams, slag reprocessing, aging solar farms, logistics yards, and the boring people who know how to keep them running through summer.

The paper explicitly highlights recirculating carbonation gases, reprocessing byproduct slags, and using surplus aluminium scrap as some of the most important improvement levers. Those are exactly the kinds of details that separate a sovereign ecosystem from a PowerPoint ecosystem.

The Fallen Leaves Analogy Is Better Than the Circular Economy Cliche

One line from the slides stuck with me: every 10 years or so, as panel efficiency degrades or silicon technology advances, you recycle the aluminium and silicon into a new panel. Build enough installed capacity and after 30-35 years you have not just electricity generation, but a meaningful stockpile of reusable material.

That feels less like a recycling slogan and more like a forest floor. Fallen leaves are not waste. They are deferred structure. The same could be true of first-generation solar deployments if we design the industrial loop ahead of time rather than pretending recycling will somehow organize itself later.

This is also where the sovereign-policy lens improves the climate-policy lens. A circular loop that produces domestic industrial feedstock, manufacturing resilience, export optionality, and lower carbon intensity is politically sturdier than one justified only as moral sacrifice.

What I Would Actually Like To See Next

If this idea is to move from interesting paper to something testable, I would want to see a few things next:

  • a serious Australian material flow analysis for quartz, aluminium scrap, aluminium dross, solar panel retirements, and metallurgical silicon demand.
  • a location-based study around Kemerton, Townsville-Lansdown and Gladstone rather than a placeless national average.
  • explicit comparison against the alternative use of the aluminium scrap streams, because the paper shows this assumption drives a lot of the environmental trade-off.
  • a pilot framed as industrial symbiosis infrastructure, not just as a decarbonisation demonstration.

The real question is not “can we make a greener tonne of silicon?” It is “can we build a self-reinforcing aluminium-silicon-energy system that compounds capability over decades?”

Final Thought

I like this idea because it is neither purely green-tech optimism nor old-school extractive nostalgia. It says something more interesting: a country with abundant sun, bauxite, quartz, and engineering talent should be able to turn one generation of solar build-out into the feedstock for the next.

Using aluminium to reduce silicon instead of carbon will not solve everything. The paper is clear about the trade-offs, and that honesty is part of why it is worth reading. But as a way of connecting chemistry, recycling, heavy industry, solar deployment, and geography into one coherent story, it has teeth.

That is usually a sign the idea deserves a prototype.

Saturday, December 6, 2025

Solar Ceilings and Compounding Dreams

It is fashionable to wave away physical constraints with vague references to solar abundance and human ingenuity. Yet every balance sheet eventually meets a balance of energy. Solar photons may shower Earth with roughly 170,000 terawatts, but financial markets expect growth that compounds on top of itself forever. The math linking those stories rarely appears in the same paragraph—so let’s put them together.

Setting the Stage

I keep coming back to Tom Murphy’s dialogue in Exponential Economist Meets Finite Physicist. In Act One, Murphy plots U.S. energy use from 1650 onward and it traces a remarkably straight exponential line at ~3% per year. Economists in the conversation shrug; after all, 2–3% feels modest. But compounding at that pace means energy demand multiplies by ten every century. Our economic models implicitly assume something even more optimistic : 8–10% returns in equity markets, pension targets, and venture decks; without asking what energy supply function supports that.

Thermodynamic Guardrails

Murphy distills the second law of thermodynamics into plain language:

“At a 2.3% growth rate (conveniently chosen to represent a 10× increase every century), we would reach boiling temperature in about 400 years… Even if we don’t have a name for the energy source yet, as long as it obeys thermodynamics, we cook ourselves with perpetual energy increase.”

That thought experiment matters less for the literal 400-year timer and more because it shows energy growth must decelerate to avoid turning Earth into a heat engine. Solar panels, fusion, space mirrors … pick your technology. The waste heat still has to radiate away. We cannot spreadsheet, app and AI our way around Stefan–Boltzmann and Black Body radiation.

Solar Arithmetic vs Demand Curves

Let’s grant the optimists a heroic build-out: cover 5% of Earth’s land area with 20%-efficient photovoltaic arrays, assume a generous 200 W/m² average output, and we net roughly 20 TW—about the entire human primary energy demand today. That is fantastic news for decarbonization, but it is not a blank check for compounding GDP. If demand keeps growing at 3%, we would need 20 TW × (1.03)ⁿ in perpetuity. Within 250 years we’d be trying to harvest thousands of terawatts—orders of magnitude more land, materials, storage, and transmission than our initial miracle project. Solar abundance is real; solar infinity is fiction.

Finance Is an Energy IOU

Money is a claim on future work, and work requires energy. When pensions assume 7–8% annual returns, when startups pledge 10× growth, and when national budgets bake in permanent productivity gains, they are effectively promising that future societies will deliver 2–3 doublings of net energy per century. If we instead hit a solar plateau—because land, materials, or social license cap expansion—those financial promises become unmoored. We can pretend that virtual goods, algorithmic trading, or luxury desserts (to borrow Murphy’s Act Four anecdote) deliver infinite utility without added energy, but the chefs, coders, and data centers still eat, commute, and cool their CPU’s , GPU’s and Tensor processors. The intangible economy rides on a very tangible energy base.

Rewriting the Business Plan

Accepting a solar ceiling does not doom us to stagnation. It just forces different design constraints:

  • grow quality, not quantity—prioritize outcomes per unit energy … do proof of useful work rather that roll the dice and gamble.
  • align finance with expected energy supply rather than mythical exponentials … and I am not talking of wasting energy on crypto.
  • treat efficiency gains as buying time, not as a perpetual motion machine … if you learnt enough physics in high school to reject the perpetual motion machine, but have been lulled into perpetual 8% returns from the finance markets, there is a serious schizophrenia issue.
  • embed thermodynamic literacy in economic education so debates start from the same math.

Murphy ends his essay noting that growth is not a “good quantum number.” It is not conserved. Our job is to craft institutions, portfolios, and narratives that can thrive when net energy flattens, because physics already told us that day will arrive long before our spreadsheets hit overflow errors.

Sunday, July 10, 2016

UDOO Neo Weather Station

I have been running my UDOO Neo solar powered in my shed for a while. I have been meaning to attach some bitcoin miners to it, just to support the network, since I am too far behind the curve with hardware to make any money off it. From what I read, the mining farms have taken over a whole hydroelectric dam somewhere in China.
Solar powered UDOO Neo
Anyway I finally got around to attaching the I2C bricks sensors that came with my UDOO Neo kit. There is an LM75 based temperature sensor and an MPL3115 based pressure/temperature sensor which can used an altimeter/barometer. These 2 sensors can be used to get some basic parameters for upload to Weather Underground or simply Thingspeak.

UDOO Neo with Sensor Bricks
The first set is grabbing the data from the sensors. The UDOO comes with modules to map the i2c devices to the linux device tree and fetch data from them by simple file reads, no I2C knowledge needed. I also found Tentacle Pi which is essentially an I2C multiple device driver library for Python. In my solution I ended up using a hybrid approach of direct i2c reads using Tentacle Pi and some /sys/ reads.
Results of i2c scan on channel 1
 The MPL3115 is read using the /sys/ method as shown in the gist below:
The LM75 is read using direct i2c and Tentacle Pi:
There is a few degrees of discrepancy between the 2 temperature readings, however I trust the temperature from the dedicated temperature sensor more. A simple test to show the data on console works fine.
Testing sensor bricks
From there it is a matter of pushing it out to Thingspeak to get a graph. I am looking at adding other sensors from the future bricks line or designing some myself using my I2C knowledge, particularly a wind speed sensor and a light sensor. The wind speed will help me determine if I can install a mini windmill generator and I can use the light data to correlate my solar panel output to solar intensity.

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

The shed solar project - with UDOO Neo

A while ago I was planning to power my external work area from solar power. So I went ahead and orderer a couple of 100W solar panels from China. They cost $100 including the charge controller with another $100 for FedEx shipping. They have served me well so far, should have ordered some more. They have been keeping a 130Ah SLA battery fully topped up for a couple of years now. I never got around to acquiring an inverter, so my soldering stations are not yet solar powered.

After accumulating electronics parts, devboards and recycling TV parts for a year I had enough bit floating around that I had to construct a shed to put them in. At the very far end of the backyard, away from the house. It is a major hassle deploying electricity to the shed. So I decided to take the panels, which were languishing against a pole in the back verandah, and deploy them on the shed roof.


I installed the PID charge controller and massive battery on the inside together with some LED bar lights, suitably coated in clear silcone for weather proofing. Ultimately there are plans to build an MPPT controller and add some monitoring for solar energy generation as well as add some bitcoin miners for network support. The Carinya brackets I used to install the panels cost as much as single panel, next time better order brackets as well.

The LED's are controlled by a small $2 RF remote with a dimming and flashing function. A bit of an overkill but it makes for great raves in the shed. Being basically the large galvanized steel box the shed has very good RF shielding and an external weather proof antenna will be required for any sensor install and wifi connectivity. So I have hooked up a TPlink external antenna and placed a Udoo Neo with mods for an external antenna there, more Udoo + shed related posts to follow.

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Where am I .... all the time

Okay lets start by clearly stating the futility of position, every defintion of position requires a reference frame. It would be pretty messy to define where I am relative to the centre of our galaxy at all times, the super-massive blackhole makes measuring time there pretty messy as well. I could define my position better in ECEF or ENU or in most cases Platte Carre. I set out to build a project which could define where I am at all times for the posterity and essentially keep a track of my spime. My spime is the only thing I have absolute natural rights to, everything else can be taken away and be subject to argument with sufficient legal juggling. Come to think of it even the personal spime is not inviolate, meh reading to much Hannu Rajaniemi. Android My Tracks is pretty good, but a phone sometimes feels like too many eggs in one basket, I don't want to leave it lying around in the car dash gathering sunlight.

The project is mainly based on a Seeeduino stalker board with a convenient Bee socket. I plugged the UBlox Neo-6M based GPS Bee there. Data logs go to a 2GB SD card and Lipo power is backed by a 1w solar cell. The GPS constantly spits out NMEA strings which get logged to the SD card as long as power and space is available. A log with 2 days worth of data took up 45Mb, so I can hold about 3 months of data. Unfortunately the 2000mAh battery died after 2 days of continous use, with some solar recharge while in use. Since the battery death, in order to prevent melt down in harsh sunlight and continuous use, I have added a USB charger option as a stop gap. This should hold the fort till I plug in the quartz/heat powered charger for use while hiking and the mini windmill for use while wind surfing. Eventually the SD card will blow off into star dust after I have had my fun and extracted and time and location of said fun, but hey SD cards are more expensive per-ounce than gold.